"The war against illegal plunder has been fought since the beginning of the world. But how is... legal plunder to be identified? Quite simply. See if the law takes from some persons what belongs to them, and gives it to other persons to whom it does not belong. See if the law benefits one citizen at the expense of another by doing what the citizen himself cannot do without committing a crime. Then abolish this law without delay ... If such a law is not abolished immediately it will spread, multiply and develop into a system." ~ Frederic Bastiat
Black Swans vs. Canary in the Coal Mine
Column by Doug Herman.
Exclusive to STR
Not all Black Swans are created equally.
Orchestrated human events are rarely Black Swan events. No matter how surprising to the masses, sudden and spectacular world events are rarely random, or so called Black Swans. Most Black Swans are human creations, created by and for the power elites. Pearl Harbor (1941), followed by the New Pearl Harbor (9-11) followed by the Newer Pearl Harbor in Iran (2012), are NOT Black Swan events but simply diabolic plans well understood by the elites well in advance, to create the problem, reaction, solution desired.
By contrast, most canaries are created equal. Ron Paul is a canary in the coal mine. William Cooper was a canary in the coal mine. Gerald Celente is a canary in the coal mine. What do they all share? Simply an intelligent grasp of what will happen if sociopaths do the bidding of psychopaths in power. You are probably a canary in the coal mine too if you possess an open mind and are aware that the mainstream media serves as a propaganda organ for those who invent so-called Black Swans.
The creeping fascism of America didn’t start on September 11, 2001. The erosion of the Constitution began far earlier. Few can agree on an exact date. I’m tempted to say the erosion began July 4, 1776. Yet fascism now permits a few Black Swanners to plan and execute a series of wars against people and nations who never attacked us, while over-riding the Constitution.
The final fall of fiat currency is a Black Swan event. No one saw it coming. No one saw it coming, they’ll report on CNN or MSNBC, except a few million people on the Internet, who fully expected and predicted the Epic Fail of fiat currency.
Ron Paul is a canary in the coal mine, and so is James Turk and Jim Sinclair. These are rational people who believe gold is money and paper money is manipulated. Gold is a canary in the coal mine too, and silver also. The epic collapse of paper currency, the medium of exchange for the masses invented by the power elites, will be reported as a Black Swan event by the mainstream media, but once again, as is often the case, they will be wrong.
If someone told you that Greece and Persia would somehow play significant roles in American history, you would be surprised. Yet Greece, that former cradle of democracy, is bankrupt, which may thus cause other formerly sovereign nations to go bankrupt, which may cause worldwide panic and thus trigger more bankruptcies. Unless of course a Black Swan event suddenly serves as a global distraction. Thus Persia needs to be attacked. The domino effect of a possible paper money default on an epic, worldwide scale must be avoided, even if another phony war on terror occurs. I sometimes wonder whether Mr. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who invented the concept of Black Swan events, and who also benefited from the economic collapse of 1987 and 2008, will once again trumpet the wholly predictable collapse as another BS event. Because truly it is a bull shit event.
As our foremost canary in the coal mine observed: “Believe me, the next step is a currency crisis because there will be a rejection of the dollar, the rejection of the dollar is a big, big event, and then your personal liberties are going to be severely threatened.”
However, other knowledgeable canaries in the coal mine, like yourself, who read STR every morning, who frequent sites like Zerohedge, SHTF-Plan or TFMetalsreport, these BS Black Swans rarely surprise us. The poison gases may overwhelm us, but the events rarely surprise us. We predict them instead. Nothing the psychopaths in power do any more surprises us. We expect a false flag attack leading to a war against wholly innocent people because we’ve seen it many times before. We expect it but never condone it. We expect the worst and prepare the best we can. We’re canaries. Not Black Swans.
We don’t do fascism. We don’t do poison, we warn about its spread and contagion. Ron Paul, the aging canary in the coal mine warned about this poison: “All initiation of force is a violation of someone else's rights, whether initiated by an individual or the state, for the benefit of an individual or group of individuals, even if it's supposed to be for the benefit of another individual or group of individuals.” Canaries recognize Black Swans; simple as that. My prediction for the War Iran Black Swan False Flag Event is March 19th. This was the same date the conflict with Libya began last year, initiated by NATO, and the same date the Iraq War began.
Postscript: If you want to know about a real, possible, natural Black Swan event, however scary, read 400 Chernobyls by Matt Stein. Makes you understand why the powers-that-be probably have those (rumored) secret underground bunkers prepared for themselves.